Sunday March 20
The first of two winter-like storms on tap for this week is moving into Northern California this morning, but neither storm seems likely to live up to the strength projected in earlier forecast models.
This system will be weak and warm, bringing light rain to parts of Tahoe and snow above about 8000 feet.
After a lull Monday except for some high winds, the second system arrives late Monday or Monday night.
That one should be colder and stronger, with snow levels eventually dropping to 5000 feet or a little lower.
Snow totals of about 6 inches above 5000 feet and around a foot at 7000 feet look likely by Tuesday.
Snow showwers are possible Tuesday and perhaps even into Wednesday before the system moves east and a warming trend takes hold.
Friday March 18
Winter officially ends Sunday, but don’t tell that to the jet stream.
A couple of winter-like storms are lining up in the Pacific and are on track to sweep into the Sierra Sunday and Monday.
The first one looks to be rather meek, with light rain and high-elevation snow likely late Sunday and Sunday night. Most of the precip from this storm will likely fall on the north end of the Tahoe Basin and north of Interstate 80.
The second one, on track for Monday night into Tuesday, appears to be stronger, colder and broader, with snow levels dropping below 5000 feet and snow falling throughout the Tahoe region.
From Sunday through Tuesday, we could see a foot or more of new snow above 7000 feet with up to two feet possible at the highest elevations around the area.
By Wednesday things should be drying out as the high pressure starts to rebuild. And by Thursday and Friday it should feel like spring again, with temperatures at or slightly above normal.
Thursday March 17
Spring officially ends this weekend, but winter won’t be letting go of Tahoe just yet.
A week of mild weather is forecast to give way to a wetter pattern starting late Saturday night or early Sunday.
Two storms that may run together into one are due to arrive beginning Sunday with a modest and warm system that should bring several inches of snow to areas above 7000 feet and a decent amount of rain to the lower elevations.
That system will give way to a colder one on Monday or Monday night, with snow levels dropping to below 6000 feet during the day Monday and to 5000 feet or below overnight into Tuesday.
Look for at least a foot of snow at the higher elevations, probably more, by the things wind down on Tuesday.