Warm weekend, then another tease next week
February 3, 2012 by Tahoe Loco
Filed under Weather Geek
Friday, Feb. 3
Another mild, spring-like weekend is on tap for Tahoe, with highs close to 50 around the lake and in the 40s at 7000 feet.
A low pressure system out of the Gulf of Alaska is forecast to move down the coast Monday, but its ultimate track inland is still in doubt. The Euro forecast model is showing this storm staying out over the Pacific before drifting inland over Southern California. The GFS model shows it turning east further north, over the Sierra. But even under that scenario, the storm breaks up as it moves inland, promising only a couple of inches of snow as it crosses the mountains.
Whichever scenario develops, the system will have moved east by Wednesday, and the high pressure that’s been blocking everything coming our way from the Pacific is forecast to rebuild again. Once that transpires, there’s nothing fun in the forecast for about a week or so.
Stay tuned for details. We will be the first to let you know when something real is on the horizon.
Tease on Wednesday, then dry for a week or more
January 31, 2012 by Tahoe Loco
Filed under Weather Geek
Tuesday Jan. 31 4:44 pm
Tahoe is in for a tease of a winter storm late tonight and Wednesday. A low pressure system passing mainly to our north will brush past the Tahoe Basin, bringing clouds, cooler temperatures and a chance of light snow to the area Wednesday morning. But there will be little if any accumulation, perhaps a couple of inches at best. And the sad thing is, this is as good as it gets for a while.
After this system moves through Wednesday afternoon, the Pacific ridge of high pressure will really dig in and become entrenched. As it does we will have a windy day, with gusts up to 75 mph over the Sierra Crest. Then it looks as if it will be strong enough to block any storms coming our way for at least the next week.
We’re probably looking at the second week of February before there’s a chance of another significant winter storm.
Stay tuned and we will let you know when there is a change in the pattern coming.
Warm weekend, light rain and snow possibly Monday
January 28, 2012 by Tahoe Loco
Filed under Weather Geek
Saturday, Jan. 28 6 a.m.
We’re still expecting a rather warm weekend through Sunday before a low pressure system passing by to our north cools things down late Sunday into Monday. We’ll see some clouds and windy conditions from this system but very little, if any precipitation. We could get some light rain showers and high-elevation snow as far south as Highway 50, but no significant accumulations.
Another system is on track to move through Tuesday and Wednesday, but it, too, looks likely to stay mostly to our north. There’s still some conflict among the forecast models, but none of them show a significant storm event for Tahoe.
Once that system moves on by, it looks as if the high pressure will build again, bringing warmer days and clear skies toward the end of next week.
Still hoping for a pattern change by the second week of February, but as of now there are no major storms in the forecast.
Stay tuned.